Bunky: Well, it takes all kinds.
Spud: That’s what it takes? I always wondered what it took.
David Mamet – State and Main
If you’ve been reading Money in the Banana Stand from the beginning, you weren’t surprised by Roy Helu‘s 27-point game against the 49ers, Torrey Smith‘s game-winning TD against the Steelers, or Denarius Moore‘s Thursday night explosion.
We’ve come to the point in the season where the best lineups aren’t necessarily those that feature your top draft picks or that field the most recognizable names. If you’ve been following me at Pro Football Focus, you know exactly which players are getting the most opportunities now, not last month or last year.
Welcome once again to the most aggressive – and detailed – rankings on the web. Dissenting comments are welcome. After all, it takes all kinds. And if a few of these predictions end up being wrong, well, it’s not a lie. It’s a gift for fiction.
Now that Carson Palmer is the future in Oakland, it’s worth wondering what his long term prospects look like. Despite some strange draft decisions, the Raiders have done a tremendous job recently in acquiring talent. Presumed draft busts like Darren McFadden and Darrius Heyward-Bey suddenly look like they might fulfill their prodigious potential. With Oakland surrendering a king’s ransom to get him, Carson Palmer is now the lynchpin of the whole project.
Palmer didn’t look good in his Raiders debut, but that can be explained away by his lack of familiarity with the offense. If we want to get a feel for his likely range of outcomes, we need to look at his historical comparisons. For this study I focused on QBs who played extensively during their age 28-31 seasons and were similar in terms of completion percentage, yards per attempt, and QB rating.
Continue reading Carson Palmer . . . Done?