In the week leading up to the 2013 NFL Draft, I published my contrarian WR rankings. Based on the Dominator Rating and Height-adjusted Speed Score concepts, those rankings were an attempt to evaluate the reality value of the prospects. With the draft concluded and dynasty rookie drafts in full swing, these are my fantasy rankings that incorporate NFL Draft results. While I believe draft position has a big impact on fantasy viability, opportunity alone isn’t enough at the wide receiver position. As a result, I still strongly emphasize reality skill and athleticism in guesstimating future fantasy value.
RotoViz exhaustively studied many of these prospects leading up to the draft. I’ve embedded a link to that information in many of the player names.
1. DeAndre Hopkins – DR .40, HaSS 98
As I detailed in my breakdown of the PFF Dynasty rookie draft, Hopkins went to the perfect team to have short term value as the No. 2 behind Andre Johnson and to have long term value as he eventually swaps roles with the aging monster. Some are concerned about the Texans’ recent penchant for the running game, but I’m a believer in Matt Schaub and don’t think teams can remain run-based for any length of time in the contemporary NFL.
2. Tavon Austin – DR .30, HaSS 89
I’ve been very down on Austin, but he goes to the perfect team to take advantage of his skills. I also recently finished an article for the upcoming PFF Draft Guide that is more optimistic about possession receivers than the one I penned a year ago. Part of succeeding at fantasy sports – or anything for that matter – is a willingness to incorporate new information and upgrade your projections accordingly. Call it waffling if you must, but I’m coming around on Tavon. One small caveat to keep in mind, Chris Givens, Daryl Richardson, and Isaiah Pead are all small, in-space players, so there may be significant competition for these types of touches.
3. Corey Fuller – DR .38, HaSS 107
It may seem strange to dramatically upgrade a 6th round receiver, but Fuller has a lot going for him. As RotoViz recently pointed out, he’s the only guy in this entire draft who’s over 200 pounds, ran a sub-4.45 forty, and didn’t suck last year. That on its own is pretty significant. He’s also a guy that I figured the Dominator Rating incorrectly for originally because I missed that he played in only 12 games. Finally, the Lions make an incredible landing spot. With Megatron seeing his usual coverage, Ryan Broyles operating underneath, and Reggie Bush catching dump-offs out of the backfield, Fuller should see plenty of daylight.